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Decision infrastructure for AI-accelerated product teams

Execution accelerated. Decisions didn’t.

You ship at AI speed. Your decisions don’t. Every weak roadmap call becomes shipped product in days — and the next agent-built feature compounds on top before the premise has been tested.

Iridae is composed Bayesian decision infrastructure — continuously updated, running as a closed loop behind your roadmap, your forecasts, your experiments, and your plans. Not market intelligence. Not a research firm. Not a dashboard. Not a copilot. The decision layer your team and your agents both reason from.

Customer reality stays current.

Calls, tickets, support threads, telemetry, competitive movement — scattered across systems, synthesized in decks that age out by next sprint. Iridae composes them into one belief state about your product, customers, segments, and the themes that matter. A living model your team and your agents both reason from.

Forecasts become decision objects.

Narrative confidence dressed up with charts is not a forecast. Iridae returns posterior predictive distributions: probability of hitting target, downside if you miss, what would have to be true to raise confidence. Forecasts that work backwards from the goal — what evidence would change the call — instead of forward from optimism.

Experiments designed and stopped on evidence.

A/B tests waiting for calendar deadlines. Conjoint studies running six weeks. Pricing research arriving after the decision. Iridae runs Bayesian experimentation across A/B, conjoint, MaxDiff, preference, and pricing — traffic shifts to winning arms in real time, experiments stop when expected regret is low enough to act.

Plans adapt before the miss compounds.

Goals as pathways, not single bets. Iridae models tactics, resources, constraints, and trigger conditions under uncertainty — surfacing which paths still reach the objective when conditions change. Drift between strategy and execution shows up before the quarterly review, not after.

Built for teams and agents.

Iridae sits behind your existing product, planning, research, analytics, and AI surfaces. Your team calls it from internal tools. Your agents invoke it through governed interfaces. Your leaders review the trace when a decision matters.

When an agent asks “what’s the probability we hit the Q4 activation target?” it receives a posterior with sources, assumptions, uncertainty, and provenance. Not a point estimate generated from training data. Not confident prose. The same calibrated read your team works from.

Every call is tenant-scoped and RBAC-gated. Every mutation is logged with a traceable chain. Every stochastic path replays bit-for-bit. Bounded autonomy by construction. Audit by default. The loop your team and your agents can both defend.

What Iridae replaces.

Most product organizations already pay for decision infrastructure. They just pay for it in fragmented, slow, non-composable forms:

  • Market research agencies and competitive-intelligence subscriptions
  • Forecasting engagements, pricing studies, and analyst scenario decks
  • Conjoint, MaxDiff, preference, and choice-modeling projects
  • Strategy consulting, scenario workshops, and transformation roadmaps
  • Panel operations and bespoke experimentation pipelines
  • Synthesis decks, board-review packs, analyst POVs, and spreadsheet models
  • Approval chains, status meetings, decision routing, and internal handoffs

Iridae doesn’t replace the judgment of your team. It replaces the brittle work around that judgment — the synthesis, modeling, forecasting, experimentation, provenance, and recomputation that should have been infrastructure all along.

Latent Spark

Customer reality composed into a single belief state. Telemetry, support, sales, research, competitive movement, and internal debate crossed into a living model your team and your agents reason from — with confidence, contradiction, time, and provenance.

Anchored Horizon

Forecasts as decision objects. Posterior predictive distributions anchored in comparable cases. Probability of hitting target, downside if you miss, and what evidence would change the call. Forecasts that work backwards from the goal.

Subtle Beacon

Always-on Bayesian experimentation. A/B, conjoint, MaxDiff, preference, pricing — designed on real uncertainty, stopped when expected regret is low enough to act. The experiment that doesn’t wait for the calendar.

Patient Cartographer

Adaptive planning under uncertainty. Tactics, resources, constraints, and trigger conditions modeled as pathways — surfacing which routes still reach the objective when the ground moves.

For the team

  • Customer signal in one belief state
  • Forecasts with the evidence trail attached
  • Experiments stopped on posterior evidence
  • Plans that adapt as conditions change
  • Synthesis that doesn’t go stale
  • Decisions defensible at review
  • Strategy refresh that runs continuously
  • Roadmap calls grounded in posteriors

For the agents

  • Calibrated context for every invocation
  • Posteriors with sources and provenance
  • Bounded autonomy by construction
  • Audit trails on every call
  • RBAC-gated decisions and access
  • Stochastic paths that replay bit-for-bit
  • Distributions returned, not confident prose
  • Decisions agents can defend with math

For the long game

  • Decisions stateful, not lost in meetings
  • Outcomes measured against original beliefs
  • Memory that compounds across releases
  • Forecast calibration improving over time
  • Strategy that learns from launches
  • Drift caught before it compounds
  • A decision layer that survives reorgs
  • Build-vs-buy answered structurally

Component licensing

Adopt a single Iridae system behind an existing workflow. Pre-wired contracts allow the rest of the loop to be stubbed until you’re ready to expand.

Composed platform

Adopt the four systems and the seams between them. The loop runs end to end behind your product, planning, research, analytics, and agentic workflows.

Design partnership

Co-design the decision workflows, governance model, agent invocation patterns, and integration architecture with Iridae. Reserved for partners with sufficient organizational depth and urgency.