Honest forecasts
no hallucinations.

Claude is the UI

Give your agents forecasting superpowers.

1. 01

   Ask for a forecast.

   An agent can answer from real posterior math—draws, bands, hit chance—instead of prose that only sounds convincing.

2. 02

   Ask what went into it.

   Surface the causal assumptions behind the outlook—what’s conditioned on, what’s treated as a driver, and where the belief is fragile—before anyone greenlights on it.

3. 03

   Ask what must be true.

   Run scenarios and inverse solves—“how much more wishlist by launch for 75% chance of ≥ $X?”—with causal roles labeled, not hand-waved.