# Patient Cartographer — capabilities With Patient Cartographer, game developers and studios map the paths a title can still take, test them against uncertain creative, production, and market outcomes, and keep strategy current as evidence arrives—from hands-on planning to governed autopilot. This page catalogs what Iridae enables for live pathfinding. ## Map the possibility space Lets studios explore how different creative, production, and commercial choices could unfold before committing the studio to one roadmap. ### Pathway simulation - Explore thousands of plausible tactical sequences with Monte Carlo simulation - Carry uncertainty forward across budget, team, audience, brand, capability, and custom resources - Model each tactic with hit, base, and flop outcome distributions - Set probabilistic goals instead of relying on one expected outcome - Test whether multiple resource thresholds can be reached together by a target date - Model discrete production decisions and continuous change between milestones - Apply deadlines, milestone gates, release windows, and Steam availability constraints - Stress-test plans against adverse shocks, delays, and resource shortfalls - Compare competing plans under the same assumptions and uncertainty - Work backward from a goal to find pathways capable of reaching it - Visualize pathways as decision trees and strategic flow graphs - Checkpoint, resume, shard, cancel, and retry long-running simulations ### Pathway search & confidence - Generate, diversify, and refine candidate strategies through multi-stage pathway search - Search large tactic spaces with genetic algorithms - Balance exploration and exploitation with Thompson selection - Measure when simulation results are precise enough to support a decision - Use Wald precision, R-hat, and effective sample size diagnostics - Set release gates for convergence and simulation health - Identify which assumptions most affect the result with Sobol sensitivity analysis - Stream progress while durable planning runs are in flight ## Compare viable ways forward Shows the strongest current route, the credible alternatives, and the tradeoff between confidence now and options later. ### Strategic variants - Group successful pathways into coherent strategic variants with DBSCAN clustering - Compare families of strategies rather than brittle one-off schedules - Select a representative pathway for each variant with medoid-style scoring - Rank viable strategies by success probability, robustness, and maneuverability - Show how much of the total success probability belongs to each strategic variant - Fall back to pathway-level recommendations when the evidence does not support stable clusters - Adjust scoring weights to reflect the studio’s priorities - Persist the recommended golden path and its supporting evidence for every run ### Decision intelligence - Show where the studio still has multiple viable choices - Identify low-optionality steps where the plan is becoming difficult to reverse - Highlight decisions that materially change the probability of success - Map decision criticality across the planning horizon - Compare optionality, certainty, and downside across strategic variants - Identify bottleneck resources before they become delivery crises - Explain near-miss pathways and what caused them to fail - Suggest mitigation tactics for fragile or narrowing paths - Show credible intervals around projected resource trajectories - Return plain-language explanations for teams, leadership, and agents ## Learn while making the game Updates the planning model as prototypes, launches, experiments, forecasts, and real operating outcomes reveal what is actually working. ### Studio tactic model - Start from a built-in library of common studio tactics - Register custom tactics for the studio, title, genre, or operating model - Represent tactic outcomes with ordered hit, base, and flop LogNormal mixtures - Model the resources each tactic consumes, creates, or puts at risk - Define preconditions, durations, dependencies, and production constraints - Analyze dependency graphs, critical paths, and executable tactic waves - Organize tactics with templates, categories, tags, and metadata - Validate tactics against the resource dimensions used by each plan - Export dependency graphs and tactic structures for review ### Calibration & drift - Record real outcomes individually or in batches - Recalibrate tactic distributions with fast quantile methods or full Bayesian MCMC - Schedule recurring recalibration as new operating evidence arrives - Detect when tactic performance has drifted from historical expectations - Skip, widen, or preserve uncertain tactic estimates according to policy - Fit specialized tactics from causal evidence where identification supports it - Promote or roll back tactic versions under governance - Condition outcomes by segment, title, market, or operating context - Validate calibration with temporal cross-validation and posterior predictive checks - Assess whether a tactic model meets configured quality and validation thresholds - Condition commercial tactics with Anchored Horizon forecasts - Condition experimental tactics with Subtle Beacon posteriors ## Explore, replan, and commit Keeps exploration separate from commitment, update plans when the evidence changes, and choose how much of the process runs automatically. ### Planning runs & replanning - Validate objectives, tactics, and constraints before expensive simulation begins - Run durable planning workflows with checkpoint and resume - Follow the full pipeline from simulation through convergence, clustering, scoring, and selection - Replan from an updated resource state, tactic library, forecast, or evidence set - Maintain versioned base plans with optimistic concurrency controls - Record operator decisions, commitments, and milestone gates - Preserve lineage for audit, reproducibility, and later comparison - Publish lifecycle notifications as planning runs progress or change state ### Sandbox & commitment - Explore hypothetical amendments without changing the committed plan - Resimulate staffing, scope, launch, funding, and sequencing alternatives in a sandbox - Compare multiple sandboxes under the same uncertainty - Adopt an explored pathway into a new base-plan version only when ready - Keep exploratory strategies visibly separate from committed decisions - Require notification, confirmation, or approval before high-impact commitments - Allow agents to propose amendments under the same governance rules - Export decision briefs and plan summaries for studio review ### Autopilot to copilot - Choose how much Patient Cartographer runs autonomously - Turn a plain-language goal into a configured planning run - Run a closed loop from configuration to simulation, recommendation, and brief - Pull supporting evidence or propose a Subtle Beacon study during the planning loop - Recalibrate and replan automatically when policy allows - Use manual-studio, trusted-automation, or agent-heavy operating presets - Set notify, confirm, and allow rules for different actions - Give humans and agents access through the same governed capability contracts - Run disciplined pathfinding without requiring a planning specialist on every decision ## Coordinate without micromanaging Gives studios and publishers a shared view of material uncertainty, risk, and decision timing without exposing task-level operations. ### Studio & portfolio planning - Plan across multiple titles, initiatives, and strategic horizons - Compose publisher scenarios from consented studio-level signals - Link production references across studio feeds without merging tenant workspaces - Model shared capital, capacity, and portfolio constraints - Align milestones and decision gates across titles - Compare portfolio strategies under shared uncertainty - Refresh linked studio statistics according to explicit policies - Support studio, publisher, incubator, and portfolio deployments ### PC2PC collaboration - Create and revoke explicit publisher-to-studio sharing relationships - Share consent-scoped sufficient statistics instead of raw pathways - Share gate timelines for milestone and commitment alignment - Share golden-path probability mass without exposing studio internals - Surface decision entropy where strategic uncertainty remains high - Provide decide-by signals for material publisher decisions - Share resimulation sensitivity when assumptions or support levels change - Share aggregated tactic-category evidence without exposing individual outcomes - Enforce tenant opt-out and policy gates on every publish and read action - Apply role-based access control to granting, revoking, publishing, and consuming signals - Broker privacy-safe cross-studio learning and federated tactic calibration - Support portfolio-level views of uncertainty, risk, and creative-capital allocation ## Work alone or close the loop Studios use Patient Cartographer as a complete strategic pathfinding system, or connect it to Iridae and the studio tools already in place. ### Iridae operating intelligence - Run stand-alone without requiring any other Iridae system - Use Latent Spark belief state to condition game, market, and tactic context - Use Anchored Horizon forecasts to condition commercial and revenue tactics - Pull Subtle Beacon posteriors into pathway assumptions - Trigger Subtle Beacon studies from high-uncertainty or high-criticality decisions - Feed new evidence back into recalibration and replanning - Federate tactic learning across permitted peers - Close the loop from belief to forecast to path to experiment to updated belief ### APIs, agents & enterprise controls - Use the planning workspace or invoke the same capabilities headlessly - Integrate through the capability API, OpenAPI, MCP, and A2A surfaces - Register agents with scoped, time-bounded delegation - Receive webhooks and asynchronous task progress - Use durable checkpoints, resume, cancel, and idempotent operations - Apply tenant isolation and role-based access control - Preserve lineage artifacts for audit and reproducibility - Operate on hosted multi-tenant infrastructure with observability and runbooks - Apply rate limits, health probes, usage reporting, and entitlement controls - Support commerce and billing workflows where enabled ## Site map - [Home](https://iridae.com/) — Iridae decision infrastructure for game studios ### [Latent Spark — Understand](https://iridae.com/understand/) Calibrated game belief, comps, and market atlas - [Overview](https://iridae.com/understand/) - [Headless + Integrated](https://iridae.com/understand/headless/) - [Capabilities](https://iridae.com/understand/capabilities/) - [FAQ](https://iridae.com/understand/faq/) ### [Anchored Horizon — Forecast](https://iridae.com/forecast/) Comp-based Bayesian commercial forecasting - [Overview](https://iridae.com/forecast/) - [Headless + Integrated](https://iridae.com/forecast/headless/) - [Capabilities](https://iridae.com/forecast/capabilities/) - [FAQ](https://iridae.com/forecast/faq/) ### [Patient Cartographer — Plan](https://iridae.com/plan/) Live strategic pathfinding under uncertainty - [Overview](https://iridae.com/plan/) - [Portfolio](https://iridae.com/plan/portfolio/) - **Capabilities** (this page) - [FAQ](https://iridae.com/plan/faq/) ### [Subtle Beacon — Learn](https://iridae.com/learn/) Continuous Bayesian experimentation - [Overview](https://iridae.com/learn/) - [Capabilities](https://iridae.com/learn/capabilities/) - [FAQ](https://iridae.com/learn/faq/) ### Also - [Book a Demo](https://iridae.com/demo/) - [Company](https://iridae.com/company/) - [Careers](https://iridae.com/company/careers/) - [Blog](https://iridae.com/blog/) - [Legal](https://iridae.com/legal/) --- Canonical: https://iridae.com/plan/capabilities/